I haven't had time yet to read through all of this but my initial impressions are that the basic assumptions are wrong.
There wouldn't actually be 5-6 carriers in the area at the time. What about the middle east? What about the Pacific? Are those theatres really that unimportant that the carriers assigned to them could be withdrawn?
I doubt it!
My initial thoughts are that AT BEST there would be about 3 carriers involved, making the Pact task MUCH easier.
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If it moves, shoot it, if not push it, if it still doesn't move, use explosives.
Nothing happens in isolation - it's called "the butterfly effect"
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