Thread: Population
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Old 09-20-2011, 06:13 AM
mikeo80 mikeo80 is offline
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Join Date: Jul 2009
Location: Fayetteville, NC
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Default Let's do some math

IMHO, Matt is correct. Let me see if I can prove it. I am going to use the canon baselines and explain my assumptions.

Population of USA in 1989 is approx 250 million.

TM 1-1 says 5% alive after BIG bang. That is approx 12.5 million.

Growth to Matt's idea: 25 Million 150 years after BIG bang. That is doubling the population in 150 years. That equals a growth of an average of 83 thousand a year to meet Matt's projection. That is a growth rate of .6% a year. That works out to 6 net new people per thousand per year. I think this is a reasonable set of numbers.

Now let's look at a more pessimistic view.

Let's say 1% survival of BIG bang.

That leaves 2.5 million surviving. To reach Matt's projection, you are talking about a 1000% growth in 150 years. That works out to be a 6.67% Population growth per year. That is 66.7 net new people per thousand. A much more difficult proposition. This might be where the Sgt. is going with his population thoughts. This scenario is not too far fetched. You have thousands of nukes going off. Followed by radiation, followed by illness, followed by starvation.

My $0.02

Mike
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