One thing to keep in mind is that China until the mid-90's really didnt import fuel - they just didnt have enough cars to need more oil than they produced - so the real question may be how quickly did the Soviets damage their oil producing centers to where it became necessary to import fuel to keep their war effort going?
Given the success of the initial Soviet invasion how much of China's oil production would have been either in their area of occupation or in range of tactical aircraft in say the first six months of the war?
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