Yeah, but then again, I don't see Mexico going deep into Arizona. It's rough country and Sonora, Mx is rough country. Arizona is strategically dubious (at least in the sense the juice isn't worth the squeeze), Mexico didn't invade Arizona with enough troops to come close to even pacifying Tucson, much less securing their supply lines back into Mexico (1 "army" for both California and Arizona), and unlike Texas, there would not have been enough migrants / refugees from Sonora to give Mexican forces home field advantage like they might have enjoyed in South Texas.
800k people in Tucson area...say half starved in 1998, and another half starved in 1999, leaving you 200,000 (American) people in 2000. Mexico has 2500 personnel and 8 AFVs left in Arizona (and Sonora!) by July, 2000. Probably would not be a fun situation to be in.
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