The US is definitely a major power in 2300AD - not a superpower but still a major one. And one thing I definitely dont agree with is them letting Mexico keep a big piece of Arizona and New Mexico and California - for one big reason that the US controls the source of water for the areas they hold in all three states - would have been very easy to drive out Mexico - just turn off the taps.
So that part of the canon I dont see as realistic - Texas going independent - yes that I could agree with even without a Mexican invasion.
However the US being anything like that with what is described in HW - that's not going to happen.
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