One wonders how many marauder units are made up of soldiers who intended to go home, but it didn't work out. One wonders how many individual soldiers and small units were seduced by clever marauders who claimed they were headed home, just as soon as they accumulated what they needed to make the trek.
For the reasons given in earlier posts in the thread, I think some units in CONUS would have worse desertion problems than others. For instance, a formation that is directed to move from its cantonment to a new region in 1999 or later may discover that a large percentage of its troops simply disappear. This said, units operating within a narrow geographic range may find retention a bit easier. State Guards/State Defense Forces with high proportions of married men whose wives and children are in the main cantonment may find that rates of desertion are fairly low.
Of course, as others have suggested there's the issue of perception. If the troops percieve themselves to have a better situation in uniform than out, they will stay. We've explored this ground before, regarding the break-up of a number of formations in Howling Wilderness. It's good to refresh, though. Every new voice brings something new to the table. I don't think we've covered things from the Soviet point of view very much.
Webstral
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