I think another argument for 1 shot = 1 round is that, even with automatic weapons, people are going to be taking more semiautomatic, aimed shots and short bursts -- by 2000, people simply can't afford to waste the ammunition on "mad minutes" anymore, and marksmanship will be more valuable than volume of firepower.
(Actually, it should be now as well -- suppressive fire has its value, but I think it's more important to kill your enemy than firing off thousands of rounds and simply causing them to withdraw, or hoping that some of your un-aimed fire hits someone. I say that as someone who did take the half a second or so that it took to put your sights on a target and kill them with one shot.)
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I'm guided by the beauty of our weapons... First We Take Manhattan, Jennifer Warnes
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