Quote:
Originally Posted by Raellus
I know that Pyongyang is one of the world's best sabre rattlers and that this will probably go nowhere. On the other hand, N. Korea is a rogue state and is capable of just about anything.
If the North launched an attack on the South, the U.S. would be fully committed to providing direct military assistance. Although the situation has improved somewhat over the past two years, the all-volunteer U.S. military is still stretched pretty thin as it is. A war in Korea could conceivably lead to a reactivation of the draft.
With the U.S. preoccupied in Iraq, Afghanistan, and then Korea, I wonder what Iran would do. How would China react to a N. Korean invasion of the South? I doubt they'd support it. What if the N. Koreans started getting rolled back like in first Korean War, though? Would China intervene on its behalf?
Anyway, there are a number of ways one could extrapolate the current "crisis" into a T2K scenario. Although it sounds like a great game system, I think the Twilight 2013 should have gone the Second Korean War route in setting up Armageddon. It seems much more plausible than the convoluted scenario they presented.
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I have sort of an answer - to involve another major power could happen by accident .
Pardon my forgetfulness - but I did see some T2K scenarios based on another Koraen war on the internet - " something Dragon something " - I just cant remember where and who has written it.
Not very helpful..
As for in game scenarios - and of course - this is only meant as a suggestion to a " timeline " and NOT intended as a political comment of any sort nor is it in any way intended to anger any particular group -save possibly the criminals in Pyongyang
What about a tit for tat scenario where the border skirmishes that the Norks love go wrong , and serious shooting starts .( there are so many border incidents on land,in the air and at sea that it resembles assymetrical warfare already any tangible escalation might trigger this incident in RL).
The instability of the Nork leadership and circumstance leads to "the Sea of Fire Scenario" ,where the Norks shoot Seoul and environs to smitherens and kill app 1000 000 ROK citizens ,crippeling the countrys economy , and in an already hampered global economy,trigger a downward spiral that rapidly leads to major instability in the industrialized world.(Think Greece only on a larger scale ).
The ongoing barrage in Seoul ( stopping it with conventional weapons might take weeks or months ) and major raids -possibly coupled by some surprise defeats for the ROK/US forces in the conventional war adds to the doom and gloom and whips up a frenzy in public opinion .
This in turn leads to a perception of the legality of answering with tactical nuclear weapons -which in turn leads to a well planned and executed infiltration attack on the US by Nork agents using some sort of WMDs and devestating attacks on critical infrastructure and symbolic targets - if indded it wasnt already in the works once the war went loud at the .38th parallell.
To involve any of the other major powers against the US would take some conjuring imho - but the terrorist route that 2013 has taken might be one approach - possibly with a powerful super villain faction not aligned with the official goverment in Beijing or Moscow or indeed Riyadh as the cloacked force behind the attacks,backing a faction that takes advantage of the chaos and open up a second front against the West..If this is discovered by any allied intelligence agency I dare say the mess would be of such proportions that only blowing the kitchen up will suffice as a cleaning operation .
A lot of ifs and maybes - I know .