I believe Russia is making noises at the moment about the European missile shield. I don't know any details but that could be a viable point of conflict.
We've also got the current hostility from North Korea which potentially could lead to some ugliness. I know it's a bit of a stretch (but it is a game afterall) but the north, supported by China and perhaps Russia could invade the south. Given a serious breakdown in western intelligence estimates the north could be given a greater strategic strength than they do IRL and cause a second Korean War which might expand to other regions.
Who knows, Iran might get twitchy and attack the western forces in Afganistan while Iraq rises up as well. We might even see Israel attacked by it's neighbours (again!) and English football fans could go on a rampage across France...
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If it moves, shoot it, if not push it, if it still doesn't move, use explosives.
Nothing happens in isolation - it's called "the butterfly effect"
Mors ante pudorem
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