I would think the other way around to be honest regarding Coal vs. Nuke. Assuming that until the TDM things more or less worked as they should manpower and supply wise. I can see the nuke plants staying online into the april-may timeframe with ease: no concerns about fuel supply but parts a manpower will become a issue fast, even if the military steps in to help the plants out. Coal on the other hand tends to have a 45 to 60 day on hand supply, let's assume the trains don't run on time and its 45. With the loss of so much use they can probably keep burning for 90 days- provided nothing major breaks (or the bulldozers run out of gas and they can't get more to reload the actual feed bunkers) they will drop dead before the end of February, at best.
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