Matt, you wrote:
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Long distance trade between Texas and KFS is likely to be based on luxury items.
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What assumptions are you making about the transport network?
Given where the salt and phosphate/phosphorus are, there may be a substantial bulk trade. Both sides need these for industry and agriculture and they each control or have best access to one or the other.
Horse and cattle for breeding purposes (agricultural warfare opportunities?)
Fruit and vegetables from Texas (refrigerated transport available? seeds or cuttings for planting?)