Quote:
Originally Posted by ShadoWarrior
If they do that. The Chinese do not have to do an Overlord or Sealion massing of forces before launching an invasion. Why telegraph intentions when you don't need to? They have enough ships and transport planes within range of Taiwan to launch a surprise attack at almost any time. Most ROC invasion scenarios begin with a simulated detection of waves of strike aircraft which will precede airborne landings. Those airborne assaults will be much larger in scale than those of D-Day. There would be Chinese troops already on the ground on Taiwan before any ships left their mainland harbors.
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Well if the Taiwanese have already predicted how the Chinese are going to invade them, then they probably will already know what the Chinese are up to and how their going to try and invade them.
Taiwan does have a large and sophisticated air defence network with modern radars and Patriot, Hawk Phase III and Sky Bow II long ranged SAMs, E-2 AWACS and over 350 fighters. You can't just send in transport planes loaded with troops over a heavily defended country without eliminating the air defence network, which will take some time even in the unlikely event that America didn't intervene. Also I think mass paratroop drops are probably a thing of the past, and have been since the development of airmobile helcopters. Also paratroops are fairly lightly armed troops and have to be reinforced, the Taiwanese army has over 900 tanks and thousands of AFVs. Also if China planned to reinforce its paratroops then it would have to assemble armour, artillery, troops and supplies on the mainland in large numbers to be shipped over on Chinese landing craft and cargo ships, all of which wouldn't go unnoticed to American satellites.