Quote:
Originally Posted by ShadoWarrior
Automatically assuming that the Chicoms will fail any such attempt is just the sort of arrogance that has caused the US much grief many times in the past.
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Ain’t that the truth—and not just for the US, either. Battle plans are highly perishable.
I wonder, though, whether economics haven’t trumped the military options for the time being. China holds massive amounts of US debt. The temptation for Washington to renege on debt to the PRC as an opening salvo in Sino-American conflict would be enormous. The bean counters in Beijing probably regularly update their calculations of just how much this would cost China. Then, too, there is the issue of sanctions, cancelation of debt held in euro and other currencies. China’s ability to invade and capture Taiwan may be less relevant than China’s perception of the total cost.
Webstral