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Originally Posted by Mohoender
You are right about cruise missile capability from submarines or ships but you forgot about the ASMP (altough not a cruise missile strictly speaking). 60 had been deployed with nuclear warheads from 1986 and in T2K more would certainly have been built. I would expect France to have between 150 and 200 ASMP with nuclear warheads. Range is about 400km and speed is Mach 3.
Then, you can expect to have one or two being launched at Mexico, using a specialy modified commercial aircraft operating from Guadeloupe or Martinique. An Airbus could be used but it is highly vulnerable and I would expect France to use 1 or 2 Dassault Falcon 200. After all, what we are talking about here is a covert operation. I don't buy the idea but if I did, I would go in that direction.
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More practical to just launch them from a Mirage, but anyways if they are air launched and the aircraft are taking off from French Carribean Islands their going to be tracked. Sub launched missiles are less traceable.