[Webstral]

A fascinating idea. What unique problems a Turko-Israeli conflict would cause! Given the lack of a land border, a Turko-Israeli War would be a maritime confrontation. In some ways, this makes a shooting war between Turkey and Israel easier to start; since no one would be invading anyone, it would be easier to see the fighting as being between rival fleets and air forces (although we all know better than that).

The idea of NATO having to choose between siding with Turkey or failing to abide by treaty obligations is a torturous one. I think the core NATO players would be at pains to find some way of preventing that eventuality. If the likes of us can think of the posibility of Israel launching missiles at Turkey, so can the combatants and onlookers. Since in this case an ounce of prevention would be worth a metric ton of cure, the US, UK, and Germany probably would apply as much carrot and stick as possible dilplomatically to keep the Israelis from launching missiles at Turkey.

Of course, the Israelis very well might launch counter-air missions against Turkish air bases from the get-go. History has taught them that an air force destroyed on the ground at the start of the fight is the best enemy air force. One can only imagine the debates occurring at the top levels of Israeli power over this one. How would NATO react to Israeli air strikes against Turkish air bases or naval bases on the second day of a Turko-Israeli War?