The casualties for Olympic and Coronet would have been scary.
In some readings about 1995, I found some stuff that indicated that Magic/Ultra had let MacArthur down. Initially, it was thought there were 4 Japanese divisions on Kyushu, then they revised that to 9 divisions by August. American plans called for landing 3 corps, so that's about 9-10 divisions for the attacker. Not good odds, even with all the carriers we had, and air support from Okinawa. (This would have all been from the forces available in the Pacific, troops & planes from Europe would still be in transit.)
The scary bit for me was discovering the Japanese really had 14 divisions there, plus 3 tank brigades, and a really good idea where we were going to land. The difference was in troops pulled from Manchuria, so they were somewhat fresh and tested.
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My Twilight claim to fame: I ran "Allegheny Uprising" at Allegheny College, spring of 1988.
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