T2K is my preference for most of the reasons above. To me there's not enough significant differences to play between V1 and V2.x to worry about - the end result is the same and PCs probably don't really care by then that Germany did/did not reunify (for example) prior to the outbreak of European hostilities.
Alternate timeline is for me the best way to look at it - crystal ball gazing into the future at this point in the Twilight story is too fraught with potential/probable hiccups.
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If it moves, shoot it, if not push it, if it still doesn't move, use explosives.
Nothing happens in isolation - it's called "the butterfly effect"
Mors ante pudorem
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