There's also the possibility that the various local powers see that the Big One is going on, and realize that no one is going to be selling them all the arms they would need to fight out their own war. The USSR, USA, and others won't be sending freighters full of tanks or aircraft parts when they need more than they can produce for themselves.
I'm certain some fighting would happen, but nothing on a big scale.
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My Twilight claim to fame: I ran "Allegheny Uprising" at Allegheny College, spring of 1988.
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