Some of the draw down was also that Guatemala began to accept the fact that Belize could exist as an independent nation, whereas in the 1980' there was a real chance that Guatemala would invade the country.
Now given the state of Britain by say 1998 that could easily change.
By the way one thing to take into account would be the effect of Hurricane Mitch in late 1998 on the whole of Central America and how that would affect an area that already would be reeling from the affects of the war.
(i.e. keep in mind that the only Central American nation besides Mexico producing any oil would be Guatemala - so the only way for them to run vehicles would be either methanol or ethanal - here comes Mitch and a lot of damage to agriculture so there goes the ethanol)
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