IMHO, any one of the scenarios Raellus mentioned could be the spark that lights the fuse that sets off the powder keg. Look at WWI, One crazed assassin ended up being responsible for 10 - 20 million deaths. Yes there were a multitude of issues and problems that the world was facing. But one spark lit the fuse.
Again, IMHO, I see Korea, Syria or maybe Iran as being the most likely area to provide the spark. It very easily could by China and Taiwan, China and Japan, Russia.
It also could be a geological phenomena that starts the ball rolling. Yellowstone Caldera, Major earthquake along the Pacific "Ring of Fire", Asteroid impact, solar flare.
It could be something as insidious as Ebola going air born. Or SARS, H1N1 or other type of flu.
I have tried to stay as far away as I can from the conspiracy theories, sci-fi, or other "things that go bump in the night." (read zombies)
So, yes, we could have Twilight 2014, 15, 16 or what ever.
Time to get off of the soap box.
My $0.02
Mike
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