In going against the Baltics, the Russians are taking a calculated risk, namely that with the US already involved in a hot War with China (and therefore significant American assets involved in the Pacific Theatre) NATO will not be willing to go to War over the Baltic States. So the Pacific War has to start first.
As it happens, they get it wrong and NATO (or at least part of it) does go to War...
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Author of the unofficial and strictly non canon Alternative Survivor’s Guide to the United Kingdom
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