Quote:
Originally Posted by kato13
In looking at reality my thoughts are closer to RN7 than those who feel China will dominate in the next 20 years (remember how Japan was going to take over in the 80s).
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I'm not claiming that "China will dominate". Not at all. I'm simply saying that, given current trends in military spending and force modernization- China will at least
approach military parity with the U.S. in 15-20 or so years. This isn't Chicken Little stuff. I've put a lot of time and effort into researching this topic. Maybe it would have more weight if it wasn't coming from me?
http://www.reuters.com/article/2011/...7273UB20110308
http://www.defense.gov/pubs/2013_China_Report_FINAL.pdf
http://www.strategycenter.net/resear...pub_detail.asp
I concede that these are rather big "ifs" and that other reputable sources' assessments aren't quite as optimistic considering China's future military capabilities. I'm trying to being fair and sober minded. Still, I've found enough credible evidence to strongly suggest that China will be able to hold its own in a ground war in Asia with the United States in 20-30 years' time. Considering that a then-barely two-years-old communist China was able to battle the U.S./U.N. to a draw in the early 1950s (once again, in Korea), I really don't see this assessment as straining the bounds of possibility.
I'm just defending my methodology and conclusions here, not trying to push them on anyone else. If nothing I write here sways you, I'm fine with that. I'm just bothered by the implications that what I've come up with is somehow cloud-cuckoo-land thinking.
Quote:
Originally Posted by kato13
However there is a problem with creating a completely realistic scenario in that it will still be wrong when we look back at it 20 years from now. So IMO as long as we are going to be wrong anyway, lets be wrong in the direction of what will be the most fun to play (while still being in the realm of possibility, however remote).
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I'm glad that you appreciate the spirit of what we're trying to do.