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Originally Posted by jester
But, do the Cubans have the sealift capability to land a force sizable enough that won't get wiped out by Buba, his cousins and their shotguns without even reaching dry sand?
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Sure. 20-30 Cubans with AKMs and an RPK or two off Bubba and his family easily and make off with his stash before the cousins show up.
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Would such an operation be worth the expenditure in fuel?
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Not much by sail, perhaps an engine for the last few miles.
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I would wager that most of the populations lives are pretty hard without a war and now would get much harder without oil and aid and the limited trade it had.
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I bet that since the difference between before and after is far less for Cubans than for say Americans, the change would be less noticeable. Indeed, for some, there would be no difference.
Further, I'd suggest that the Castro regime is practiced at keeping control in tense periods.
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And with that scenario, DIA or even some Free Cubans in exile could see that and do raids of their own....
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Not a good way to keep several thousand well-armed Cubans from not deciding to throw in with the Mexicans and Russians.
Uncle Ted