My GM flatly rejected the idea that the US would let Mexico keep Southern CA, AZ, NM and Texas - that even if it took to 2020 to bring CivGov and MilGov back together that the first thing they would have done, if they hadnt already done it, was eject Mexico from any US territory they had taken
And Mexican forces in 2001 were very weak in those areas - I doubt Mexico could have held Arizona against the Apache Nation let alone any organized MilGov force.
Plus the Lone Star module and the Mexican Army article in Challenge shows that Mexican forces in CA were basically no further north than the LA basin, in AZ and NM right along the border and in Texas no further north than a line running from Waco to El Paso. North of that is still a lot of Texas - plus you have the Legion area of control in the eastern part of the state around Tyler
Having them control all of Texas till 2100 and most of AZ and NM to 2300 given those dispositions in 2001 makes no sense. At best they would control the south and southwest of Texas -and that is very iffy depending on who gets the oil in Lone Star.
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