and I agree that if you make the POD (point of departure) for the Mexican Army buildup earlier then it becomes a lot more possible
Also keep in mind having Mexico trying to suddenly build up in 1996 and 1997 and into the invasion in 98 means them having to face how they are doing so when the Atlantic and Pacific Oceans are infested with Russian commerce raiders, long range bombers and subs - and that they take a major nuking in 1997 when the refineries get hit
so trying to buy and transport materials, let alone vehicles and arms, gets very dangerous in the face of Soviet anti-shipping efforts - and the USN has their hands full protecting war shipping - they arent going to help Mexico get stuff from France or Argentina or Brazil
also once the Soviet-China war starts all bets are off - yes sure the Chinese could buy stuff from Mexico - but why does this suddenly mean they have money to buy stuff from other people? Those other people are also selling to China as well - and the UK and the US and the Russians and anyone else involved in the war - and Mexico is not in a position to win a bidding war
plus people keep thinking they need MBT's or the invasion fails
to which I say balderdash - not with the opposition they faced - they are facing an emasculated US military, with very little fuel, with much of the country completely screwed up, the road and rail network smashed in many places and almost all their heavy armor and anti-tank weapons deployed overseas
frankly if Mexico had a bunch of MBT's they would have taken the whole Southwest and CA and Colorado, etc.. - there would have been nothing to stop them - having what they did have makes the invasion and stopping of it where it happened totally plausible
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