Well we know the Mexican refineries get nuked - and I doubt the US would do it (after all why not just invade and take them for themselves?)
and I dont see the French doing it
but keep in mind that even with that fact it doesnt mean that the Mexican government would acknowledge that to the general populace - its just as easy to say "the gringos nuked us!" - after all its not like anyone is going to be able to prove who actually fired the missiles by mid 98
and with how badly the US was hit the Mexican government may have wondered what they had to lose in trying to get back what was once theirs or at least as much as they could
the problem is that there is only so much war fervor can do to distract people at home - and you are right about what would happen with too much of the Army bogged down in CA, AZ, NM and Texas and no way to get them home in time - 'viva la revolucion!"
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