I would think that rationing would start prior to events in the game say around '97 or so, in North America and other NATO countries and last at least on a national level til '99. After that point local government and military units would have to assert more direct control. With alcohol fuel being made in large scale operations grains and corn would be rationed. It might eventually turn into more of a soup kitchen type system as keeping tabs on the logistics would be easier.
There may even be programs started in areas where people are forced to grow on any decent land their own "victory gardens" in order to make food needs met.
An organization like New America could easily gain power in an area if they were to provide the population with food in exchange for citizenship (labour), a local cell would have stock piled a few tons of MREs and long term food with stored seeds and farming equipment. The alternative in some areas would be starvation.
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