But how much faster will it decline? I am trying to be quantitative here.[/QUOTE]
I'm thinking 99% of the urban population will die off in the first 2 years. Violence and the lack of farming knowledge and seeds will doom them. Suburban populations will be almost as bad. Too few people have the skills or resources to cope.
Rural populations will do better as long as they are not over run by sick, starving, desperate refugees from the cities and suburbs. I'd say as much as 40% will live past 2 years, if they are far enough away from the major population centres.
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