Wouldn't the Russian - Chinese war allow ammo production to be ramped up?
I use T2K Version 1 timeline, so I think that the Russian - Chinese war would provide the lead time needed to ramp up the ammo production.
I know that US government contracts often include a contingency capabilty requirement. They are 'contracted' for a certain amount of production capability, even though the actual orders might be for less. Theoretically they already have the materials and workers to ramp up production.
USMC and Navy ASPs are ran by service members, the security forces are supplied with live ammo.
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