A Trump presidency might actually encourage Russian and Chinese aggression. If Trump tries to distance the U.S. from NATO, even a bit, Putin might interpret it as carte blanche to officially annex East Ukraine or even the Baltics. Without the U.S.A., NATO is a paper tiger.
Protectionist trade policy vis-à-vis China might encourage China to act out in East Asia.
I hope not, but we shall see.
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