one data point that we are missing. it is how long the tensions were building up between china and Russian. Even if China was not "a friend" tensions in that area would alert SK, Japan, Taiwan, Philippines, Vietnam (depending on timeline), Singapore as well as India, New Zealand, and Australia.
if there were 24-36 months of building tensions. that would drive those counties to start building up. this would drive the US into building up also. that would give 2-3 years of building up and conversion of some assets to military production.
It also would "feed" the smaller complies to put product out now that there is market share available. Think about a company that builds unarmored SUV's and Limos. now they can make jump in and sell wheeled APC (lights) or scout cars. the F-20 also comes to mind along with Cat-Gage. Also think about how Caterpillar and John Deere could get in on the act.
You might have some cross palliation of weapons. Like say Germany can not make enough ATGM's they contact company X and they start up a line to help with the load. (Enfield rifles in WW1 and WW2 made in the us) if you can come up with a way to make 10-12 armored vehicles a month... that is a Company (10-12 companies a year or 3 to 4 new or upgraded Bat a year)
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