For me the only way a T2K setting is plausible is if the Soviet Union really was the SuperPower that it was portrayed as for many years, with the mighty military forces and nuclear missile capability that we/NATO believed it to have during the majority of Cold War. I therefore think that points at the version 1 timeline as the most "plausible", even though it's based on the fiction of the time regarding the military strength of the Soviet Union.
My own homebrew timeline is therefore based on a truly powerful Soviet Union that never collapsed with various events that trigger WWIII.
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