Put me in the scarcity camp. A single nuclear detonation over a large urban environment would completely overwhelm the country's burn treatment capacity.
1.5 years of high intensity war, then the lights go out but the war keeps rolling on? A lot of medical supplies are going to be in short supply, especially those that depend on the petroleum industry. Even mundane little things like stretchy gauze, plastic syringes, IV bags, and plastic tubing aren't going to exactly be rolling off the assembly line anymore.
Even something like agar (which you would use in a solution to grow bacteria for antibiotic production) comes from bone meal, which presumes a somewhat healthy animal agriculture infrastructure.
Advanced pharmaceuticals requiring 99.9999% pure raws and clean rooms to manufacture? Forget it.
Production would be back to 1850s tech with late 20th century knowledge. Meaning, there would be a lot of people dying from "treatable" conditions, "if only we had the right medicine," while the military hoards scarce stockpiles of existing pre-war medical supplies.
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