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Originally Posted by Raellus
The Ukrainian invasion of Russia's Kursk region is pretty bonkers, IMHO. I don't think anyone anticipated an operation of this scope or scale at this point in the conflict. It's particularly surprising given that Russians had been making incremental territorial gains in several areas along the front, even prompting very real fears of an operational breakthrough west of Avdiivka.
What is the UAF's main objective? Relieve pressure on beleaguered stretches of the front? Occupy Russian territory with the aim of eventually exchanging it for sovereign Ukrainian territory during anticipated peace negotiations?
Will this incursion force the Russians to withdraw forces from Ukrainian territory to meet the threat? Is this a foolish use of UAF forces that could be better used elsewhere? Will the Russians cut off and destroy this force?
What are your thoughts, opinions, or predictions about this operation?
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I believe this to be a feint given how hard pressed the UAF are elsewhere on the front lines. Another more remote possibility is this is a spoiling attack on Russian forces in that area (Russian force concentrations that we are not privy to in the West.)
Historically and in an odd coincidence a risky counter-thrust/offensive in the Kursk region is enough to give me pause on Ukraine's behalf (Citadel/Zitadelle 1943 anyone?)