One, maybe two stray missiles landing in Poland... not good. If it turns out they were fired by Russia, it'll be largely irrelevant that they were off-target. If they were Ukrainian ADA munitions, much of the world will still make the point that Ukraine wouldn't need to fire anti-missile missiles if they weren't being attacked by Russia.
Hello, Article 4. With Article 5 waiting quietly nearby.
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 "It is better to be feared than loved" - Nicolo Machiavelli
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