[Mohoender]

As I agree with you, here is South Africa. Nevertheless, even if you follow v1.0, South Africa would have granted independence to Namibia.

SOUTH AFRICA
I kept this one for the end as it remain a special case in Africa and as it will be more demanding.

If following T2K (either v1.0 or v2.0), I would expect the government to maintain the Apartheid system in face of the increasing tensions. Of course, during the war, with hunger and sicknesses, that would lead to Civil war. However, ethnic tensions (among blacks) the devastating effect of AIDS and starvation would certainly give the upper hand to the white dominated army. Nevertheless, even if they get support from part of the black population, that will pose tremendous problems as they will have to get more white conscripts. In the Outcome, the country would stabilze toward 2000 with organized regions on the coasts, in the East and around the economical centers. Chaos would predominate elsewhere and the level of population would have dropped significantly despite the fact that the country didn’t receive any nukes. With a true industry that would not be that much in bad shape and energy still flooding, the country might have become one of the major power in the world. Some could argue, that South Africa would have joined with the ally but that is doubtful as years of embargo would have left its mark. In T2K that country might retain some nuclear capabilities.

Army
Conventional Force
- 43rd SA Brigade
Manpower: 5500
Assets: 36 Rooikat, 67 Casspir, 190 Ratel, 27 FH155
Headquarter
Field Workshop
Maintenance unit
Engineer Regiment
Field Artillery Regiment
Armored Recce Regiment
2 Mechanized Battalions
Motorized Infantry Battalion
- 44th Parachute Brigade
Manpower: 2500
13th Signal Squadron
44th Pathfinder Platoon
44th Medical Task Group
1st, 2nd and 3rd Parachute Battalions
- 45th Parachute Brigade
Manpower: 2500
Special Force HQ
Special Force Store
451st, 452nd and 453rd Parachute Battalions
Mobilization Force
- 7th Division
Manpower: 20000
Assets: 56 Olifant MBT, 72 Rooikat, 300 Casspir, 350 Ratel, 14 G6 155 SP,
17 MLRS, 40 FH155, 56 GDF-35
Headquarter
Support Elements
SAMS Medical Battalion Group
1st Special Service Battalion (Armored)
2 Artillery Regiments
2 ADA Regiments
3 Mechanized Brigades
Headquarter
Field Workshop
Maintenance unit
Engineer Regiment
Field Artillery Regiment
Armored Recce Regiment
Armoured Battalion
Mechanized Battalion
Motorized Infantry Battalion
- 8th Division
Manpower: 20000
Assets: 56 Olifant MBT, 72 Rooikat, 300 Casspir, 350 Ratel, 14 G6 155 SP,
17 MLRS, 40 FH155, 56 GDF-35
Headquarter
Support Elements
SAMS Medical Battalion Group
1st Special Service Battalion (Armored)
2 Artillery Regiments
2 ADA Regiments
3 Mechanized Brigades
Headquarter
Field Workshop
Maintenance unit
Engineer Regiment
Field Artillery Regiment
Armored Recce Regiment
Armoured Battalion
Mechanized Battalion
Motorized Infantry Battalion
- 9th Division
Manpower: 20000
Assets: 56 Olifant MBT, 72 Rooikat, 300 Casspir, 350 Ratel, 14 G6 155 SP,
17 MLRS, 40 FH155, 56 GDF-35
Headquarter
Support Elements
SAMS Medical Battalion Group
1st Special Service Battalion (Armored)
2 Artillery Regiments
2 ADA Regiments
3 Mechanized Brigades
Headquarter
Field Workshop
Maintenance unit
Engineer Regiment
Field Artillery Regiment
Armored Recce Regiment
Armoured Battalion
Mechanized Battalion
Motorized Infantry Battalion

Territorial Force
9 Regional Army Commands (Cape Town, Port Elizabeth, Johannesburg, Kimberley, Durban, Bloemfontein, Pretoria, Potchefstroom, Nelspruit, and Pietersburg)
- 17 Commandos in each regional command
Manpower: 400

Air Force (11000 personnels)
AFB Langebaanweg
- 526th Base Security Squadron
- Central Flying School
Assets: 20 PC-7
AFB Ysterpllat
- 2nd Air Servicing Unit
- 505th Base Security Squadron
- 22nd Squadron
Assets: 4 Alouette III, 6 Oryx
- 35th Squadron
Assets: 10 C-47TP
- 109th Squadron
Assets: 4 PC-7
- 110th Squadron
Assets: 4 PC-7
AFB Overberg
- 525th Base Security Squadron
- 3rd Squadron
Assets: 16 Mirage F-1
- 8th Squadron
Assets: 20 Impala Mk II
- 103rd Squadron
Assets: 4 PC-7
AFB Bloemspruit
- 506th Base Security Squadron
- 16th Squadron
Assets: 20 Alouette III
- 87th Helicopter Flying School
Assets: 2 BK-117, 6 Alouette III, 6 Oryx
- 106th Squadron
Assets: 4 PC-7
- 107th Squadron
Assets: 4 PC-7
AFB Durban
- 508th Base Security Squadron
- 15th Squadron
Assets: 4 BK-117, 9 Oryx
- 105th Squadron
Assets: 4 PC-7
AFB Waterkloof
- 5th Air Servicing Unit
- 504th Base Security Squadron
- 17th Squadron
Assets: 2 BK-117, 5 Alouette III, 9 Oryx
- 21st Squadron
Assets: 2 Cessna Citation, 2 Falcon 50, 1 Falcon 900, 1 Boeing 707
- 28th Squadron
Assets: 9 C-160 Transall
- 41st Squadron
Assets: 12 Cessna 208, 4 King Air, 1 PC-12
- 42nd Squadron
Assets: 12 Cessna 185, 1 PC-6
- 44th Squadron
Assets: 10 Cessna 185, 4 Aviocar, 1 CN-235
- 104th Squadron
Assets: 4 PC-7
- 111th Squadron
Assets: 4 PC-7
AFB Hoedspruit
- 7th Air Servicing Unit
- 514th Base Security Squadron
- 1st Squadron
Assets: 32 Mirage F-1
- 19th Squadron
Assets: 2 BK-117, 9 Oryx
- 101st Squadron
Assets: 4 PC-7
AFB Makhado
- 3rd Air Servicing Unit
- 515th Base Security Squadron
- 2nd Squadron
Assets: 28 Cheetah
- 85th Combat Flying School
Assets: 24 Impala Mk II
- 102nd Squadron
Assets: 4 PC-7

Navy
Manpower: 6500
- 9 Sa’ar 4 PG
- 4 River-class MSH
- 4 Type 320 MSH
- 3 Daphné SSK
- 1 Fleet Tanker


If following T2013, that would evolve very differently. Ethnic tensions would be directed primarily against foreigners but the country would not avoid it and it would lose a fair part of its population because of this. Then, the army would bring its forces together in order to face the various threat that could appear, designing several security zone that would remain organized. These could be more important than in T2K but large zone of chaos would exist, nevertheless. The country would still be able to get electricity but the supply would be more shaky and the industry, also still there, would be less in shape as the government would have been taken in the middle of reform process. Losses in human life could be important as the army would lack sufficient supply and proper organization for a time. For some times, it would remain unable to intervene everywhere and it would let several unrest go extreme.

Army
Special Forces
- Special Force Brigade
Manpower: 1500
Maintenance Unit
4th Special Force Regiment
5th Special Force Regiment
Conventional Force
43rd SA Brigade HQ
- 1st Construction Engineer Regiment
Manpower: 500
- 2nd, 14th and 35th Field Engineer Regiment
Manpower: 500
- 10th ADA Regiment
Manpower: 500
Assets: 57 GDF-35
- 4th Artillery Regiment
Manpower: 500
Assets: 12 G6 155SP, 24 MRL
- 1st South African Tank Regiment
Manpower: 500
Assets: 38 Olifant MBT
- 1st Special Service Battalion
Manpower: 500
Assets: 42 Rooikat
- 3rd Mechanized Infantry Battalion
Manpower: 700
Assets: 38 Rooikat, Ratel, 8 G6 155SP
- 61st Mechanized Infantry Battalion
Manpower: 700
Assets: Ratel
- 1st, 2nd and 4th Motorized Infantry Battalion
Manpower: 700
Assets: Casspir Mk III, Buffel
- 5th, 6th, 7th, 9th, 10th, 14th, 15th, 115th, 116th, 118th, 121st Light Infantry Battalions
Manpwoer: 700
- 44th Parachute Regiment
Manpower: 1800
13th Signal Squadron
44th Pathfinder Platoon
44th Medical Task Group
1st, 2nd and 3rd Parachute Battalions
Mobilization Force
46th SA Brigade HQ
- 3rd, 6th and 19th Field Engineer Regiment
Manpower: 500
- 2 Air Defense Regiment (6th ADA Regiment and Cape Garrison Artillery)
Manpower: 500
Assets: 57 GDF-35
- Transvaal Horse Artillery Regiment
Manpower: 600
Assets: 18 G6 155SP, 24 MRL
- 6 Field Artillery Regiment (Cape Field Artillery, Natal Field Artillery, Transvaalse Staatsartillery, Vrystaaatse Artillery Regiment, Regiment Oos Transvaal and Regiment Vaalriver)
Manpower: 500
Assets: 24 FH155
- 5 Tank Regiment (Natal Mounted Rifle, Umvoti Mounted Rifle, Pretoria Regiment, Regiment Mooirivier and Regiment President Steyn)
Manpower: 500
Assets: 42 Olifant MBT
- 2 Armoured Car Recce Regiment (Light Horse Regiment and Regiment Orangerivier
Manpower: 500
Assets: 60 Rooikat
- 9 Mechanized Infantry Regiment (Cape Town Highlanders, Durban Light Infantry, Rand Light Infantry, Regiment Bloemspruit, Regiment de la Rey, Regiment Westelike Provincie, South African Irish, Transvaal Scottish and Witwatersrand Rifles Regiment)
Manpower: 700
Assets: Ratel
- 6 Motorized Infantry Regiment (Cape Town Rifles, Johannesburg Regiment, Kimberley Regiment, Natal Carabineers, Prince Alfred’s Guard and Regiment Skoonspruit)
Manpower: 700
Assets: Casspir Mk III, Buffel
- 2 Light Infantry Regiment (Durban Regiment, Buffalo Volunteers Rifles)
Manpower: 700

Territorial Force
5 Regional Task Force
- 36 Commandos in each Task Force
Manpower: 400

Air Force (9300 personnels)
AFB Langebaanweg
- 526th Base Security Squadron
- Central Flying School
Assets: 20 PC-7
AFB Ysterpllat
- 2nd Air Servicing Unit
- 505th Base Security Squadron
- 22nd Squadron
Assets: 4 Lynx 300, 6 Oryx
- 35th Squadron
Assets: 10 C-47TP
- 110th Squadron
Assets: 4 PC-7
AFB Overberg
- 525th Base Security Squadron
- 3rd Squadron
Assets: 20 Impala Mk II
- 8th Squadron
Assets: 20 Impala Mk II
- 103rd Squadron
Assets: 4 PC-7
AFB Bloemspruit
- 506th Base Security Squadron
- 16th Squadron
Assets: 12 Rooivalk
- 87th Helicopter Flying School
Assets: 2 BK-117, 9 A-109, 9 Oryx
- 106th Squadron
Assets: 4 PC-7
- 107th Squadron
Assets: 4 PC-7
AFB Durban
- 508th Base Security Squadron
- 15th Squadron
Assets: 9 A-109, 9 Oryx
- 105th Squadron
Assets: 4 PC-7
AFB Waterkloof
- 5th Air Servicing Unit
- 504th Base Security Squadron
- 17th Squadron
Assets: 2 BK-117, 2 A-109, 9 Oryx
- 21st Squadron
Assets: 2 Cessna Citation, 2 Falcon 50, 1 Falcon 900, 1 Boeing 737
- 28th Squadron
Assets: 9 C-160 Transall
- 41st Squadron
Assets: 12 Cessna 208, 4 King Air, 1 PC-12
- 44th Squadron
Assets: 10 Cessna 185, 4 Aviocar, 1 CN-235
- 104th Squadron
Assets: 4 PC-7
- 111th Squadron
Assets: 4 PC-7
AFB Hoedspruit
- 7th Air Servicing Unit
- 514th Base Security Squadron
- 1st Squadron
Assets: 28 Cheetah
- 19th Squadron
Assets: 9 A-109, 9 Oryx
- 101st Squadron
Assets: 4 PC-7
AFB Makhado
- 3rd Air Servicing Unit
- 515th Base Security Squadron
- 2nd Squadron
Assets: 26 Saab JAS-39
- 85th Combat Flying School
Assets: 24 Hawk Mk 120
- 102nd Squadron
Assets: 4 PC-7

Navy
Manpower: 7500
- 4 Meko A200 SAN (SAS Amatola, Isandlwana, Mendi and Spioenkop)
- 5 Sa’ar 4 PG
- 4 River-class MSH
- 4 Type 320 MSH
- 3 Type 209 SSK
- 3 Daphné SSK
- 1 Fleet Tanker