Both Russia and to a greater extent China will need to move away from high causality forms of warfare for the years 2025-2030. China's forced one child policy and Russia having one of highest abortion rates in the world will lead to huge labor pinch during those years i they decide that causalities do not matter during the early stages of the conflict.
China also would see huge internal pressures if large numbers of families are losing their only child on missions where the gains would not justify the loses.
Yes these countries could crack down on internal dissent, but if they are seen as throwing away lives willy nilly, any popular internal support could evaporate very quickly.
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