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Originally Posted by Grimace
I used to room with a guy in the Air Force that worked in some of those missile silos. He had a book that I got to look at (it had been declassified) that showed maps of what the Air Force thought would happen as far as radioactive fallout after a nuclear war. Needless to say, it wasn't a pretty thing for the East Coast of the U.S.
So I think you've generally got the right idea. The thing to do is get a picture showing the jet stream. Then you can base your wind drift patterns based on that. Also...and I'm not sure if you're taking this into account, but ground bursts created substantially more fallout and much bigger affected area downwind from the impact zone than that of an airburst.
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I think this focuses on near term fallout as long term fallout is too hard to model (and to be honest way too depressing).