It seems inconceivable that Elblag would not have been fought over, or that Nato were not even in the area.
It's an important hub in and of itself, and denying the Baltic coast to the Pact would have to be high on the list of Nato priorities.
Krakow on the other hand is much less of a transportation hub and therefore sparing it from nuclear destruction is quite possible. Note however that newer parts of the city (those outside the walls) have suffered significant destruction - obviously not nuke in nature, so it's a near certainty conventional fighting occurred.
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If it moves, shoot it, if not push it, if it still doesn't move, use explosives.
Nothing happens in isolation - it's called "the butterfly effect"
Mors ante pudorem
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