View Single Post
  #13  
Old 06-04-2021, 07:10 AM
3catcircus 3catcircus is offline
Registered User
 
Join Date: Dec 2020
Posts: 110
Default

Given the real-world current events, it would seem that a PRC-US alliance is highly unlikely even in an alternate history scenario. Other than Biden's missteps and the lack of action after the two US-DPRK summits, it would seem that a DPRK-US alliance would have been more likely. Especially since the Korea's, Japan, Taiwan, Malaysia, and Vietnam are all pretty riled up about the PRCs moves in the regional sea lanes

Additionally, Russia's actions and rhetoric in relation to Belarus and the Ukraine could see a Poland/Ukraine/Baltic States alliance against Russia and Belarus.

The question becomes what happens in the China-India border dispute. Does Russia side with India? How does Pakistan take advantage of the situation?

Lastly - Turkey and Iran coordinating against Iraqi Kurds. How does Iraq react? How does Syria play in this? How do the various normalization of relations between Israel and various other nations impact this? Would Jordan, Egypt, UAE, etc. work with Israel to counter the Turks and Iranians?

How does the belt and road initiative affect what China does in Africa and their threats to Australia for cancelling Victoria's belt and road agreement since the US will come to the aid of the Aussies?

I think China's imperial ambitions nowadays mean that there won't be any US Alliance against Russia. I think the key sticking point on who does what to whom may rest on China-India and on Chinese aggression in the regional sea lanes.
Reply With Quote