I dont see the Soviets nuking Taiwan - all they dont need is to add more enemies in the Pacific - and frankly Taiwan may be too busy taking advantage of what happened to Communist China - i.e. attempt to get a foothold back on the mainland or possibly somewhere like Hainan - probably their best shot at actually getting back in power over at least all the offshore islands and possibly a foothold on the mainland
could even see Taiwan once it went nuclear telling the Soviets what they intended to do - and them seeing it as a way to even further destabilize China and let them bring even more forces to bear elsewhere - i.e. weakening China more and hopefully making them waste even more of what little strength they have left fighting off an attempt by Taiwan to seize their territory
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