I think what happenes in South Africa during and after T2K would be related to what is happening in the rest of the world, and how it directly effects South Africa. I'm not sure if South Africa is actually nuked in the T2K, or if its was were the actual targets were. But if it is not nuked then South Africa would certainly be one of the most important countries in the world after T2K, and it would be by far the most powerful country in Africa.
I'm sure the blacks would revolt and there would be a fair bit of bloodshed, but any revolt is likely to result in failure unless the entire South African military aparatus is destroyed by direct nuclear attack. Neighbouring states without their friends in Moscow to support them are unlikely to even think about getting involved for a number of reasons.
The South African government had fairly effictively enforced apartheid since the last 1940's, by arranging population into racial groups, enforcing strict racial segregation in urban areas, restricting African urbanization, tightly controlling migrant labour, encouraged tribalism among native Africans and enforcing strict security legislation and control. This legislation was supported by most whites and by nearly all of the Afrikaaner ethnic group who manned the majority of the military and para-military security forces. Whites were the only part of South Africa's population allowed to legally own weapons and they were by and large very heavily armed for a civilian population, especially the largely rural Afrikanners. White schools children were (and still are) thought how to use rifles and practice markmanship. Many rural Afrikaaner whites were members of clubs or organisations which would be classified as right wing para-military militias in Western countries.
When internal resistance start to build up to apartheid and was supported from outside the country, particularly edin the 1970's, South Africa started a policy of attacking terrorist bases in neighboring countries. Principle targest were guerrillas in South Africa, Namibia, Angola and Mozambique. South African hit squads frequently raided gurerilla camps across borders, the South African Air Force frequently bombed targest in neighbouring countries, and the army launched a full scale invasion of Angola. ANC and other black revolutionaries were also targeted across Africa and even in European countries such as France, Belgium, Sweden and the UK.
South Africa developed a formidable defence industry in direct response to the boycott imposed on it by the international community. Sophisticated small arms, munitions, artillery and military vehicles were all produced by South Africa during Apartheid, as were electronics and many spare parts for aircraft. Close links were also developed with other "isolated" countries such as Israel, who actively helped South Africa maintain and even upgrade her forces. Nuclear cooperation almost certainly occured and South Africa is known to have had at least a half dozen nuclear weapons by the 1980's.
South Africa is the most developed country in Africa, with a technology base more akin to Europe than Africa and a massive resource base. During the oil embargo South Africa succesfully developed a synthetic liquids fuel programme to convert coal to oil.
The South African military is the most powerful and sophisticated in Africa. Training standards are equivalant to western military forces, particularly British Commonwealth militaries, and are superior to neighbouring African states. South African special forces were among the best counter insurgency forces in the world during the apartheid period, and were greatly feared by African guerillas and their Eastern Bloc advisors.
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