But some of your swings are not that far off.
China is having problems as their economy has slowed over the last few years. There has been some unrest but it's generally not on a scale to be noticed by the West.
As for Russia bumping the cost of fuel up to their foreign customers....Well they has sort of happened and they have been re-arming to a degree. With sending troops to both Syria and the Ukraine to get combat experience, the Red Army is back in the game for sure.
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