View Single Post
  #20  
Old 03-21-2023, 11:41 AM
Heffe Heffe is offline
Registered User
 
Join Date: Nov 2017
Posts: 223
Default

This is just some theorizing, but I imagine that the US's interest in Taiwan will also start to decline quite heavily once the new Micron chip factory gets up and running in Ohio between 2024 and 2030.

There's still the geopolitical angle of China gaining Taiwan's GDP (presuming the island nation is brought to heel in an amicable fashion), exerting more influence over the south China Sea, and resultant impact of greater Chinese economic control in Asia. There's also the reduction of US influence in the area, which will surely have an impact on our relations with South Korea, Japan, Australia, etc. But I'm not sure I see the US as being as willing to go to war with our largest trading partner over our 10th largest trading partner if it comes to that, especially not once we're making our own semiconductors. It's going to take some careful statecraft and diplomacy to work through any potential future handover of the island.
Reply With Quote