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Old 11-01-2018, 01:07 PM
cosmicfish cosmicfish is offline
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Join Date: Mar 2015
Posts: 469

I started a thread a few years ago that asked the same question, and somewhere I have an EXCEL file that showed my estimates of population for each year broken down by urban, suburban, and rural. I was trying to work out migration rates between the three types of area when I stopped.

You're going to see a population decline that will last decades, as people who survived the initial attacks die to starvation and medical problems stemming from the lack of medications and care. Initial populations will largely flee to rural areas where there was less damage and more remaining resources, but will gradually return to towns or create new ones for enhanced security against the strengthening post-apocalyptic violence.

Growth rates will probably not get above 1% in any given year, given all the problems.
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