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Old 01-24-2023, 07:54 AM
castlebravo92 castlebravo92 is offline
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Just as an aside, Texas got 20% of the raw megatonnage...and that's without counting the Robison and Lemont "TX" strikes.

Simulated blast/thermal casualties using 1997 population numbers:

Code:
Row Labels    Sum of DEAD    Sum of INJURED
  AK              56,458         63,775
  AR              17,068          4,804
  CA           2,351,092      3,959,548
  CO              80,312        212,910
  D.C.           154,505        209,690
  DE              29,978         72,862
  FL              78,144        155,504
  GA              96,106        113,808
  HA             142,806        173,417
  IL             161,965        382,009
  IN             292,938        687,750
  KS              74,068        128,815
  KY              18,108         31,010
  LA             317,448        434,875
  MD              73,376        196,922
  MI               3,084          2,312
  MO              70,093        124,063
  MS              33,175         29,282
  MT              22,008         22,743
  ND              13,808          1,490
  NE             128,254        157,453
  NJ           1,190,951      2,482,863
  OH             239,258        395,548
  OK              85,812        102,746
  ON             227,526        248,054
  PA             394,571      1,337,164
  SC               6,553         34,633
  TX           1,423,363      2,088,855
  VA             438,193        646,737
  WA              16,691         25,812
  WY              26,419         23,055
Grand Total     8,264,131    14,550,509
Sometime this annum I hope to have fallout casualties modeled with a decent fallout model (decent means better than the quick and dirty elliptical WSEG-10 algo used by NukeMapTools) capable of producing a nice fallout map as well.

The ON casualties are ONLY the Windsor Ontario attack, and all of those are actually Michigan, US casualties (I don't have gridded population data for Canada added to the population database), so obviously MI is grossly undercounted in the above pivot table.

Howling Wilderness states the population of the United States was reduced to 68% of it's prewar level by Jan 1 of 1999, or about 87 million dead after 13 months. If we use a rule of thumb and say half of the injured in the above table died from their injuries, and throw in another 5 million deaths from fallout, that gets you to ~20 million dead, so you need to fill in another ~67 million dead due to famine, disease, and civil unrest through 1999.

And then another 50 million dead through June of 2000. That's a lot of narrative writing to fill in the handwaving details that GDW left to the referee (or Chico in this case).

And if you go with the Howling Wilderness bleakness, another 100 million dead once the drought induced famine winds it's course, landing you at ~34 million survivors by 2002-2003 timeframe.

As an aside, I think the drought should be retconned into something a little more milder than killing off 75% of remaining population. The severity of the drought simply is not realistic given the size and water diversity in the United States (the US has a more reliable and redundant agriculture water structure at the national level than just about any other country, ESPECIALLY in the Deep South, where - even if you turned off the rain for a year or two, there's enough ground water able to be tapped to sustain subsistence agriculture for the half-sized surviving population.
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