#31
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So somehow Mexico has produced the assets......
Refined fuels in the 100,000s of thousands of gallons per day to support three or more Corps level armored thrusts. Generated Corps level Supply, Maintenance, Refuel, and Transportation Battalions. A ratio of 10 support troops to one combat arms that goes up to 15 to 1, and 25 to 1 the more sophisticated the equipment. Generated several Corps of garrison troops to occupy a few million miles of occupied territory comprising the American southwest. Generated the rations to support troops in occupied territory. Overwhelmed the U.S. forces on Active duty throughout the U.S. southwest and lower central united states. Ft. Huachucha, Ft Bliss, Ft Hood, Ft Sill, Ft Carson, White Sands Missile Range, Toole Army Depot, 29 Palms, NTC ..... Air Force assets like Nellis Air Force base (where air dropped nuclear weapons) any of which fully supports National Guard and multi service and joint service full spectrum training. A force which in peace time dwarfs the Mexican armed forces in just personnel. There is no logical reason the Mexican army could gain a foot hold past Interstate 10 regardless of the number of drug traffickers and human smugglers assisting them. The situation is the way the authors wanted the situation to be because a United States locked in a chaotic internal strife was and is great story material. |
#32
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@Swag: A narco-puppet state is a really interesting concept. I was going with a more left-leaning PRI administration irked by U.S. border/immigration/trade policy but I kind of like your scenario better. Any offensive by a narco-puppet would instantly benefit from established smuggling routes and distribution cells.
@Web: I also like your idea of setting up shop to license-build light AFVs for the China market. @Olefin: In the scenario I posited, the Mexicans purchased Chicom armor prior to the Second Sino-Soviet war. And I agree with you that heavy armor isn't needed to explain/justify the Mexican army's early successes. IMHO, it just makes the setting more interesting. Also, IRL, the Mexicans did have some first-hand experience manufacturing tracked AFVs in the form of the short-lived Sedena-Henschel HWK-11s. It's not too far a stretch to take a reverse-engineered ERC-90 turret and slap it on there. That said, I prefer theidea of Mexico license-building Brazilian EE-T1 Osorio MBTs or Argentinian TAMs to Chicom or Russian equivalents. @ArmySGT: It's about making it work. Yeah it's implausible, but it's not impossible. Timing the invasion after the TDM, when most regular U.S. army and guard units are already deployed on foreign soil, it doesn't seem all that crazy to see a Cuban/Soviet-supported Mexican invasion of the American SW having some success, at least early on. It certainly makes for an interesting campaign setting.
__________________
Author of Twilight 2000 adventure modules, Rook's Gambit and The Poisoned Chalice, the campaign sourcebook, Korean Peninsula, the gear-book, Baltic Boats, and the co-author of Tara Romaneasca, a campaign sourcebook for Romania, all available for purchase on DriveThruRPG: https://www.drivethrurpg.com/product...--Rooks-Gambit https://www.drivethrurpg.com/product...ula-Sourcebook https://www.drivethrurpg.com/product...nia-Sourcebook https://www.drivethrurpg.com/product...liate_id=61048 https://preview.drivethrurpg.com/en/...-waters-module Last edited by Raellus; 09-15-2015 at 06:59 PM. |
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To be sure, there are obstacles to be overcome in getting tank production going in Mexico starting in 1995 with the first tanks rolling off the line less than 2 years later—quite serious obstacles. Success depends a good deal on political will and what resources can be brought to bear. I posit this development less because I think it’s very likely than to provide a pretext for suspension of or lessening of disbelief regarding the Second Mexican-American War—an event that never took place within the context of a bigger war that never took place. Either we rewrite the shape of things pertaining to this particular portion of the Twilight: 2000 chronology (a perfectly acceptable option for those inclined to go that route) or we try to jiggle and/or shape pieces that don’t fit together until they do. I belong to the latter school, though in truth I’ve used a combination of approaches in my work.
__________________
“We’re not innovating. We’re selectively imitating.” June Bernstein, Acting President of the University of Arizona in Tucson, November 15, 1998. |
#34
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I don't think we need to worry about the HOW of it. No player will ever see the full extent of what's going on, not even everything within eyeball range. If they do start asking questions and actively investigating IC, then throw a few tidbits of information that way which might explain one portion of the whole, but leaves them completely ignorant about the rest.
Who here has ever had a gaming group stay together long enough for several years IC to pass? Shouldn't it be the GMs job to keep the world they're playing in interesting - ie mysterious? Yes, GMs should have an overall understanding, but don't sweat about the minute detail of it. Just wing it, or only develop those small pieces of the puzzle you need to as, when, and especially IF the PCs ever find themselves in a position to actually find out the truth of anything. Don't over analyse, and above all, K.I.S.S.
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If it moves, shoot it, if not push it, if it still doesn't move, use explosives. Nothing happens in isolation - it's called "the butterfly effect" Mors ante pudorem |
#35
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A Game
Just my take.
Each of us brings his or her own set of learned information to the game WE play at OUR table. That makes it personal and I think it brings out the desire to justify to others the how and why of OUR game. My game is played with my background and all that I have experienced and learned put into play. I have been a soldier and a Cop a Machinist and a salesman, a teacher and a Boy Scout leader. I have lived in California and Louisiana and Colorado and spent time in Viet Nam and Africa an ad couple of other areas that have seen shooting. I bring that to MY game. So here is the point, when you tell others how such and such IS or how it must be perhaps you should remember that is the case in your world., after all it has not really happened. I posted a means to remove a perceived threat by improvised methods, I have never done that but I am sure that it is possible, given a particular set of circumstances, and a bit of luck. I have read any number of similar posts here about what Might be, given a particular set of what if circumstances, most are very reasonable to me under the circumstances put forth, all are, in the minds of those that posted them. I think the folks that posted them should be aware that by posting you are inviting a discussion of those thoughts and scenarios. On the other hand discussion is not personal attack and I have not read anything here that indicates those posting are not aware of and very competent in the use of the English language, in other words saying I did not mean to insult or belittle another just will not fly. Oh well my two cents again. Carry On
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Tis better to do than to do not. Tis better to act than react. Tis better to have a battery of 105's than not. Tis better to see them afor they see you. |
#36
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Well said, and a small detail that is overlooked by a few.
__________________
If it moves, shoot it, if not push it, if it still doesn't move, use explosives. Nothing happens in isolation - it's called "the butterfly effect" Mors ante pudorem |
#37
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FYI
One way you could have Mexico have MBT's would also fit right into those who love Red Dawn type scenarios and Harold Coyle books, which you can clearly see in the Texas module - how about they get them from Nicaragua, either with Nicaraguans manning them or just buying them? The Soviets delivered 20 T-54's and 136 T-55's to Nicaragua and 22 PT-76B's and considering the time frame of the game they should still be fully operational. Thats a lot of potential armor for Mexico - and better yet, since Cuba operates those vehicles as well they could have bought parts for them from Cuba. So lets say they buy 120 of them from Nicaragua in late 1997 as planning begins for the invasion - they can be delivered very easily and the spares come from Cuba as well as Nicaragua. They use Nicaraugan and Soviet trainers to get their guys up to speed and organize them into three 40 tank battalions and assign one to each army going into the US. Or they use Soviet Division Cuba for tank support in Texas and put one battalion going into Arizona and two going into California. Bingo - instant MBT's for the Mexican Army - and a great way to bring the Nicaraguans possibly into the invasion for those who want to do Red Dawn. Raellus FYI- the Henschel HWK-11s were all manufactured and plant shut down by 1966. I highly doubt by 1996 that many of those workers and techs are even alive, let alone able to assist in getting a MBT plant up and running. Again I dont see them making MBT's in Mexico - but don't underestimate the ERC-90, especially the improved version. The French have been very successfully using it as a light tank for a long time - and given the nature of what the invasion would be like they could be very very effective as tanks. I would hate to be a National Guard commander that got issued a few M48's out of storage having to go up against a force of ERC-90 Sagaies. And for the record - I would totally be in agreement on Mexico getting licensed to make the ERC-90 Lynx or Sagaies and increasing their number of them significantly prior to the invasion - they already have 120 of them and almost 20 years of experience operating them - and for Mexico it makes just about the perfect AFV And making that kind of vehicle fits perfectly with their past abilities to make the HWK-11 - and also provides a hell of a scenario for players I.e. you get tasked to get into Mexico and blow up that plant, which is being used to repair damaged vehicles and is still turning out a few new ones from time to time using existing stockpiled parts and maybe even grab a couple for the players to use while they are at it Last edited by Olefin; 09-16-2015 at 08:39 AM. |
#38
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and also looking at their stop point in the invasion I am betting that they never took 29 Palms - that given the fight the Marines would have given them for Pendleton that by 29 Palms they would have been running out of steam and they got stopped dead just north of Palm Springs And the 49th is at Fort Sill so they never got there You have to wonder how many troops were still at those facilities - the Marines have basically sent everyone they had overseas except trainers and logistics troops, the Navy doesnt train its guys for ground combat (thats what the Marines are for), and many of the Air Force bases would be down to minimal personnel with the deployments overseas But Sill and Bliss definitely would have been very hard nuts to crack with the schools there - and no matter what types of Marines are at 29 Palms and Pendleton as to combat or logistics and training formations, all Marines are riflemen first and foremost - they wouldnt have given up those bases without one hell of a fight |
#39
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Just because a unit is listed as being in a certain location, doesn't mean they spent the whole war there.
__________________
If it moves, shoot it, if not push it, if it still doesn't move, use explosives. Nothing happens in isolation - it's called "the butterfly effect" Mors ante pudorem |
#40
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No I dont mean the 49th spent the whole war at Sill- the Mexicans never made it to Fort Sill - i.e. per canon they got stopped in Texas - and the Army Guide and HW (if you use it) has them at Fort Sill after they were brought back to Texas, headed up the 1999 counteroffensive and got their butts kicked by the Soviets
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#41
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I would however change the cannon if you pursue this. I would say that Mexico's oil wells would not have been nuked by Russia and that platforms owned by the now "hostile" Mexico were occupied by the US military "to prevent Russian use of Mexican oil in the war" (triggering the Mexican military response on US soil?). |
#42
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#43
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OK. As GM/steward of your own T2KU, change it or leave it out. I'm not trying to convert anyone to my way of thinking.
__________________
Author of Twilight 2000 adventure modules, Rook's Gambit and The Poisoned Chalice, the campaign sourcebook, Korean Peninsula, the gear-book, Baltic Boats, and the co-author of Tara Romaneasca, a campaign sourcebook for Romania, all available for purchase on DriveThruRPG: https://www.drivethrurpg.com/product...--Rooks-Gambit https://www.drivethrurpg.com/product...ula-Sourcebook https://www.drivethrurpg.com/product...nia-Sourcebook https://www.drivethrurpg.com/product...liate_id=61048 https://preview.drivethrurpg.com/en/...-waters-module |
#44
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Ok.....
I was trying to discuss the T2K game universe.... I remember now why I quit before. You guys can have it. I am tired of these temper tantrums . Don't call. I'll be over on the TMP side. |
#45
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__________________
"It is better to be feared than loved" - Nicolo Machiavelli |
#46
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I am wondering how the war effects the border situation. I mean the US is going to be manufacturing loads of war material and they are going need manpower, would you see lots people of Mexico or the Central America trying to cross and find work? if the war industry is need would the authorites turn more of blind eye? Would you see Mexicans in the the US Military?
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I will not hide. I will not be deterred nor will I be intimidated from my performing my duty, I am a Canadian Soldier. |
#47
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Well there's a recipe for disaster!
I'd imagine that recruiting from the Mexican population would likely cease, or at least slow down the moment an unfriendly government was installed in Mexico. Those who were recruited are sure to have been shipped as quickly and as far away from south western US as possible, probably to Europe or the middle east (Korea is also a possibility, but that would probably entail them leaving from California or parts nearby and might be seen as a bit risky). Bound to be screams of racism once the pattern was observed, but hey, it's WWIII, those protests are getting shut down hard!
__________________
If it moves, shoot it, if not push it, if it still doesn't move, use explosives. Nothing happens in isolation - it's called "the butterfly effect" Mors ante pudorem Last edited by Legbreaker; 09-17-2015 at 07:17 PM. |
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You know you will see them - and keep in mind that the US is also at war with Italy and Greece - but I highly doubt that the US Army would suddenly not take Italian and Greek Americans as soldiers
During WWII my uncle Charlie served in the US Army starting in 1942 - he had lived in this country for nearly 22 years (he was 31 at the time) but had never officially become a US citizen (he was born in Italy) - however he was inducted and served at a time when the US was at war with Italy |
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__________________
I'm guided by the beauty of our weapons...First We Take Manhattan, Jennifer Warnes Entirely too much T2K stuff here: www.pmulcahy.com |
#50
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I was a New Zealand citizen when I joined the Australian Army Reserve. They fast tracked my citizenship - it was literally just a couple of weeks and I received my citizenship certificate.
__________________
"It is better to be feared than loved" - Nicolo Machiavelli |
#51
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Somebody obviously screwed up and put you on the wrong list. I'm SURE you were supposed to be immediately deported!
__________________
If it moves, shoot it, if not push it, if it still doesn't move, use explosives. Nothing happens in isolation - it's called "the butterfly effect" Mors ante pudorem |
#52
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Yeah, well 20/20 hindsight and all that
__________________
"It is better to be feared than loved" - Nicolo Machiavelli |
#53
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actually they did - he became a citizen during the war (and unfortunately a POW of the Germans as well after the Bulge - which is why he always hated Hogans Heroes with a passion)
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#54
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The actor Mako played Japanese soldiers, but served in the U.S. Army during Korea. His parents were college professors who were in the U.S. during the war and served as translators for Navy Intelligence. His family got citizenship from congress in recognition of their aid and he reunited with them.
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#55
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Before agreeing that the Lynx can do the job of supporting a Mexican thrust into the US, I would want to figure out how Second Mexican Army deals with a counterattack by 40th Infantry Division. The division draws a number of MBT when it reforms. The M60 outranges and outguns the Lynx and has better protection. The M1 is even more so. Conventional wisdom says that any encounter between American MBT and the Lynx is going to be as lop-sided as the Operation Desert Storm. It’s hard to imagine that the Americans make no serious effort to expel the Mexicans from Southern California. Yet the disposition of forces in July 2000 indicates that either there was no real effort or that the Americans failed. This needs some explanation. Or a rationale for the Americans making no effort has to be devised. I’m at a loss in this regard thus far, though I’d welcome some ideas to get me thinking.
__________________
“We’re not innovating. We’re selectively imitating.” June Bernstein, Acting President of the University of Arizona in Tucson, November 15, 1998. |
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one question would be how does the 40th counterattacks - and how much armor they ever got - it sure looks like from the various vehicles they have that they didnt get much armor when the time came to reorganized the division in the US - they have a wide variety including CEV's as tanks
so while they may have got better tanks how many did they get? Is this a WWII situation for the 40th - i.e. the Germans had better tanks than the Americans but a heck of a lot less than the US did - so were the few better MBT's that they got overwhelmed by larger numbers of Mexican armored cars - (i.e. its one thing if they got 100 tanks, a much different thing if they only got 25) or did the 40th get cocky and do something stupid - i.e. the Mexican stuff is junk why the hell should we care - and get themselves ambushed by ERC-90's at effective range? I could easily see the Mexican's getting one heck of a black eye in an opern field battle then sucking the 40th into where they could ambush them, either in an urban environment or other places that offer concealment - especially if the 40th didnt have any air support in other words did the commander make the mistake the Germans made in Stalingrad and let themselves get sucked into a tank battle in built up terrain? or you could have the Mexicans get the T-55's from Nicaragua (and maybe even some T-64's from Cuba as well) and concentrate them all in CA - now they have a mix of ERC'90's and Soviet MBT's and make a more effective force I think the key may come down to how they fought the 40th - I can see the Soviets in Texas taking on the 49th in an open fight - after all they had helicopter gunships and for all we know the 49th didnt - but in CA maybe they relied on ambush tactics to get close enough to make their weapons able to effectively engage the US MBT's - losing a lot of vehicles in the process but still stopping the US in its drive south |
#57
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I think there are a couple of plausible reasons, which I have explored previously. One reason is that a foreign adventure is good for distracting people from troubles at home. Another is that being seen to protect Mexican lives against those bad Americans can’t hurt. Then there’s the near certainty that Mexican oil refineries will be nuked by the Soviets to keep them out of American hands or by the French to make the Americans think the Soviets did it. The Soviets could play off nuking Mexican refineries as yet another act of Yankee imperialism. Knowing that Mexican oil would give Mexico a leg up in world, the Americans destroy Mexico’s oil to keep Mexico down. And then there’s the fact that 150 years prior the United States lopped off half of Mexico. I think it’s quite possible that the Mexican senior leadership does not have a clear idea of what they are trying to achieve. Inflicting a defeat on the Americans obviously is a good thing. But what happens after the Mexican Army has won a few battles and captured some territory? Where is the stop line? In the short term, the foreign adventure is good for public morale. After a little while though, the absence of military units in the interior begins to cause problems on top of all the other problems the country is experiencing. What to do? While I agree that rationally there is little chance that Mexico would invade the US under the circumstances that exist in 1998, I like the invasion thematically. I recognize that it borders on a deus ex machina for the purpose of expanding the Twilight: 2000 war zone to a whole new territory. Still, I think there’s an important theme at work. People do stupid things under stress. At many points in the chronology cooler heads might have prevailed and put an end to the war but didn’t. The Twilight War as a whole could have been avoided. A Mexican invasion of the US for ill-defined objectives fits the theme of absurd wastefulness quite nicely.
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“We’re not innovating. We’re selectively imitating.” June Bernstein, Acting President of the University of Arizona in Tucson, November 15, 1998. |
#58
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Well we know the Mexican refineries get nuked - and I doubt the US would do it (after all why not just invade and take them for themselves?)
and I dont see the French doing it but keep in mind that even with that fact it doesnt mean that the Mexican government would acknowledge that to the general populace - its just as easy to say "the gringos nuked us!" - after all its not like anyone is going to be able to prove who actually fired the missiles by mid 98 and with how badly the US was hit the Mexican government may have wondered what they had to lose in trying to get back what was once theirs or at least as much as they could the problem is that there is only so much war fervor can do to distract people at home - and you are right about what would happen with too much of the Army bogged down in CA, AZ, NM and Texas and no way to get them home in time - 'viva la revolucion!" |
#59
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There are a lot of unknowns about the situation in California, which gives us leeway. We do know that 40th ID drew vehicles from a variety of sources. We don’t know how many, so there is wiggle room there.
It’s curious that according to US Army Vehicle Guide 40th Infantry Division is in central California. I would imagine that the surviving tanks would be in the southern part of US territory facing the enemy. The MPs would be better suited to policing the interior, including the all-important Central Valley. What does the presence of 40th ID in the interior tell us? Granted, the 1999 counteroffensive is a year gone. From a Twilight: 2000 perspective, that campaign is ancient history. When I have thought about this in the past, I’ve imagined that the armor of 40th ID was handled incredibly carelessly and that the armor and anti-tank forces of the Mexicans were handled brilliantly. Perhaps the American leadership fell victim to hubris based on their imagined invincibility. How could a few Mexican armored cars hope to stand up against American MBT? So it may well be that the Mexicans lured the striking power of 40th ID into a kill sack or found a way to turn the terrain decisively to Mexican advantage.
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“We’re not innovating. We’re selectively imitating.” June Bernstein, Acting President of the University of Arizona in Tucson, November 15, 1998. |
#60
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keep in mind too what the 40th is protecting (and it shows the authors really didnt know the California that well)
The Soviets nukes the big refineries in the state and thus you cant get oil production out of LA or near San Francisco - but there are three smaller refineries in Kern County around Bakersfield - and those three refineries get their oil from the Kern oil fields around them - so that makes Bakersfield the last gas station in CA so why is the 40th there? To keep the Mexicans from getting that oil - and to keep it for MilGov that could also explain why they didnt counterattack - the 40th could have been tasked with hold on in Bakersfield no matter what and stop the Mexicans dead if they try to grab the oil or the refineries and thus the Mexican forces come on, get their heads handed to them by the 40th and draw back - and the 40th just stays put and makes sure that Bakersfield gets held thats why HW doesnt make sense - you dont go thru all that trouble to hold Bakersfield and then withdraw - not when if you do there goes the last oil on the west coast |
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