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Old 02-16-2016, 10:37 AM
raketenjagdpanzer's Avatar
raketenjagdpanzer raketenjagdpanzer is offline
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Default Somewhat(?) on topic - Iran and Oil Prices

You know, my hat's off to Iran. Clever bastards! In a few short years they have managed to snooker the US into allowing them to have a nuclear weapons program over the protestations of Israel and just about everyone else in the region.

Now that sanctions have been lifted, they're getting the US to underwrite the re-start of their oil production, and by all accounts there was 60bn bl sitting fallow in West Iran, which means they can dump it on the market and completely destabilize every country around them: Russia will be reeling from the hit to their burgeoning petrochemical industry. Speaking of underwriting, the "stable" kingdoms (Saudi Arabia, Oman, Qatar, etc.) all subsidize their citizens (buy them off) and keep them from grousing too much about personal freedoms; it's hard to bitch too much at the government when there are literally so few poor people to do menial things in your country that you have to import "foreign workers" (slaves; Saudis, Omanis etc. steal their passports and make life hell on those people), and in the case of I believe it was Oman, the government bought every person in the country a luxury car. But if Iran keeps the taps open those oil dollars will dry right up, then major unrest will begin to show. When it comes to low oil prices, Iran gives no fucks because they've been living with privation for 40 years. Any profit is profit for them when they haven't been able to sell.

Now that they're back in the arms market plus producing locally, when the shit hits the fan in neighboring countries who do you think will be fomenting "freedom movements" and "people's revolutions"? And if a call goes out for pan-ME "peace keeping" forces who do you think will be more than happy to send troops hither and yon?

So, really, I doff my hat to Iran. They've won big in the last few months and will continue to rise for a long time.
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