Where would of the Soviet Offensive would have hit...

[Abbott Shaull]

One has to remember that Belorus based armies had to deal with rebellions there and in the Baltics. I think by 2000 Stavka was more concern with keeping control of the territory of the Soviet Union, than it would be giving NATO a black eye that would leave the Soviet Union closer to a collapse that they were trying to prevent. Most of Eastern Europe was in such a state they wouldn't be of no threat to the Soviet Union for years to come. Much of the government that was left in these countries realized that Germany wasn't in much shape to do much to them.

I am always reminded of what Sgt Malarky character told his new Lt in "Band of Brothers" series in when they were nearly in Germany on the River with the troop on each side. "We both have roof over our head, I don't think anyone wants to do something stupid!" When the Lt inquired about the opposing force even though the unit supposedly only gotten there.

The reaction of many of the Soviet Union units on the line were according to their commanders in any condition to move against the 5th Mechanized Division, the XI Corps or the Third German Army. The reasons ranging from lack of parts to lack of fuel to lack of ammo. Of these the lack of parts and ammo can be believable due to supply lines not being secured. As for fuel well since sometime in 1998 or even early 1999 units would of started to distill fuel for 'local' use.

Many units would have more than enough to get moving. What they didn't want to do is end up like happen to the 5th Mechanized Division. Get so far and the stall out for time to distill more fuel. I am sure the 4th GTA had been moving forward methodically. To keep units so they didn't get to disperse. Especially after the 38th Tank Division had rebelled. They grouped enough where the other Divisional Commanders were able to keep control of their troops too.