OT or Not OT: Twilight 2030

[Raellus]

Originally Posted by kato13

Both Russia and to a greater extent China will need to move away from high causality forms of warfare for the years 2025-2030. China's forced one child policy and Russia having one of highest abortion rates in the world will lead to huge labor pinch during those years i they decide that causalities do not matter during the early stages of the conflict.

China also would see huge internal pressures if large numbers of families are losing their only child on missions where the gains would not justify the loses.

Yes these countries could crack down on internal dissent, but if they are seen as throwing away lives willy nilly, any popular internal support could evaporate very quickly.

True, and that's probably why both the Russian army and the PLA are doing more than ever before to provide their troops with decent individual body armor and more and better communications equipment. They're both working hard to modernize their forces, structurally, technologically, and doctrinally. I agree that the days of human wave attacks are probably over. The point I'm making is that they still both enjoy somewhat a quantitative advantage over western militaries and that's got to count for something (in a speculative near future war scenario.

Also, I've heard tidbits about China loosening its one child policy and I've also come across mentions of a Russian government PR campaign touting the nationalism/heroism of motherhood. Not sure if the latter will pay off by increasing birth rates, but it indicates that Moscow's aware of the problem and taking steps to try and rectify it.